Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd (S63.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.30 - $87.73$32.04
Multi-Stage$15.06 - $16.50$15.77
Blended Fair Value$23.90
Current Price$7.79
Upside206.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.28%0.00%0.160.160.220.150.150.150.150.150.150.16
YoY Growth--0.04%-27.27%46.54%-0.03%-0.03%0.03%0.08%0.37%-6.37%-0.25%
Dividend Yield--3.41%4.08%6.51%3.96%3.90%3.78%4.27%4.55%4.59%5.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,410.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,029.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)381.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)282.19176.37105.82
Cash Retained (M)381.84381.84381.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-282.19-176.37-105.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)99.66205.48276.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,141.813,141.813,141.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.42
WACC / Discount Rate5.88%5.88%5.88%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Fair Value$16.30$32.04$87.73
Upside / Downside109.28%311.24%1,026.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,410.941,475.831,543.701,614.701,688.961,766.631,819.63
Payout Ratio72.94%76.35%79.76%83.17%86.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,029.091,126.791,231.291,343.021,462.421,589.971,683.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.88%5.88%5.88%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Year 1 PV (M)1,054.021,064.191,074.36
Year 2 PV (M)1,077.381,098.281,119.38
Year 3 PV (M)1,099.261,131.401,164.16
Year 4 PV (M)1,119.681,163.541,208.68
Year 5 PV (M)1,138.721,194.751,252.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,825.5043,883.4746,021.66
Equity Value (M)47,314.5649,535.6351,841.21
Shares Outstanding (M)3,141.813,141.813,141.81
Fair Value$15.06$15.77$16.50
Upside / Downside93.32%102.40%111.82%

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