Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.66 - $355.13$139.34
Multi-Stage$124.55 - $136.97$130.64
Blended Fair Value$134.99
Current Price$61.06
Upside121.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.52%-2.55%1.150.571.131.980.070.270.270.260.102.05
YoY Growth--102.09%-49.78%-42.76%2,689.57%-73.81%0.73%2.66%153.45%-94.96%37.78%
Dividend Yield--2.65%0.93%2.54%4.07%0.22%3.17%1.02%0.89%0.47%10.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)190.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)114.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)75.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.0023.7514.25
Cash Retained (M)75.0975.0975.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.00-23.75-14.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.0951.3460.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)103.08103.08103.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.500.59
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.500.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.471.611.70
WACC / Discount Rate4.34%4.34%4.34%
Growth Rate2.15%3.15%4.15%
Fair Value$68.66$139.34$355.13
Upside / Downside12.44%128.21%481.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)190.00195.97202.14208.50215.06221.83228.48
Payout Ratio60.48%66.38%72.29%78.19%84.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)114.91130.09146.12163.03180.86199.64211.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.34%4.34%4.34%
Growth Rate2.15%3.15%4.15%
Year 1 PV (M)123.47124.68125.89
Year 2 PV (M)131.63134.22136.83
Year 3 PV (M)139.39143.52147.73
Year 4 PV (M)146.76152.59158.59
Year 5 PV (M)153.76161.43169.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,144.1812,750.3813,380.55
Equity Value (M)12,839.1813,466.8214,119.02
Shares Outstanding (M)103.08103.08103.08
Fair Value$124.55$130.64$136.97
Upside / Downside103.99%113.96%124.32%

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