Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Regal Partners Limited (RPL.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.91 - $61.01$45.57
Multi-Stage$7.91 - $8.64$8.27
Blended Fair Value$26.92
Current Price$2.17
Upside1,140.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.88%0.00%0.140.070.190.060.030.090.030.030.040.00
YoY Growth--97.72%-62.46%233.56%80.49%-64.16%231.30%5.00%-33.33%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.72%2.72%5.48%1.16%0.36%0.67%0.26%0.24%0.37%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)98.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)94.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.6012.257.35
Cash Retained (M)3.743.743.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.60-12.25-7.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-15.86-8.51-3.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)319.46319.46319.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.03-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.03-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.270.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15.91$45.57$61.01
Upside / Downside633.17%1,999.95%2,711.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)98.00104.36111.15118.37126.07134.26138.29
Payout Ratio96.18%94.95%93.71%92.47%91.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)94.2699.09104.16109.46115.02120.84127.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)91.6392.5093.37
Year 2 PV (M)89.0690.7692.47
Year 3 PV (M)86.5589.0491.57
Year 4 PV (M)84.1087.3390.66
Year 5 PV (M)81.7085.6489.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,095.452,196.662,301.74
Equity Value (M)2,528.492,641.932,759.55
Shares Outstanding (M)319.46319.46319.46
Fair Value$7.91$8.27$8.64
Upside / Downside264.75%281.11%298.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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