Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Raute Oyj (RAUTE.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$327.40 - $385.82$361.53
Multi-Stage$220.29 - $242.04$230.96
Blended Fair Value$296.25
Current Price$14.00
Upside2,016.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-36.77%-11.31%0.100.000.000.540.990.950.850.670.530.38
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-44.82%3.59%12.18%26.07%27.76%37.11%20.27%
Dividend Yield--0.61%0.00%0.00%3.32%4.57%4.79%3.17%2.32%2.49%2.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.461.540.92
Cash Retained (M)8.998.998.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.46-1.54-0.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.537.458.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.276.276.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.041.191.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.041.191.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.571.721.82
WACC / Discount Rate1.52%1.52%1.52%
Growth Rate4.22%5.22%6.22%
Fair Value$327.40$361.53$385.82
Upside / Downside2,238.59%2,482.38%2,655.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.3112.9513.6314.3415.0915.8816.35
Payout Ratio26.97%39.57%52.18%64.79%77.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.325.137.119.2911.6814.2915.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.52%1.52%1.52%
Growth Rate4.22%5.22%6.22%
Year 1 PV (M)5.005.055.10
Year 2 PV (M)6.776.907.03
Year 3 PV (M)8.638.889.14
Year 4 PV (M)10.5811.0011.42
Year 5 PV (M)12.6413.2513.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,337.671,403.091,471.04
Equity Value (M)1,381.291,448.171,517.62
Shares Outstanding (M)6.276.276.27
Fair Value$220.29$230.96$242.04
Upside / Downside1,473.53%1,549.71%1,628.83%

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