Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Quantum Software S.A. (QNT.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$164.90 - $747.02$379.45
Multi-Stage$86.94 - $95.03$90.91
Blended Fair Value$235.18
Current Price$25.00
Upside840.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.18%0.00%1.820.673.093.160.691.642.201.630.060.00
YoY Growth--172.38%-78.33%-2.31%359.54%-57.95%-25.64%34.67%2,541.46%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.16%2.70%11.87%10.07%2.49%13.63%13.75%9.50%0.48%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.000.620.37
Cash Retained (M)2.572.572.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.00-0.62-0.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.571.942.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.331.331.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.181.461.65
LTM Dividend per Share1.821.821.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.181.461.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.003.293.47
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$164.90$379.45$747.02
Upside / Downside559.62%1,417.79%2,888.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.985.305.656.026.416.827.03
Payout Ratio48.50%56.80%65.10%73.40%81.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.423.013.684.425.246.146.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2.782.812.83
Year 2 PV (M)3.133.193.25
Year 3 PV (M)3.463.563.66
Year 4 PV (M)3.793.934.08
Year 5 PV (M)4.104.294.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)98.04102.78107.70
Equity Value (M)115.29120.56126.02
Shares Outstanding (M)1.331.331.33
Fair Value$86.94$90.91$95.03
Upside / Downside247.78%263.66%280.13%

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