Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57.31 - $93.38$73.45
Multi-Stage$59.04 - $64.27$61.61
Blended Fair Value$67.53
Current Price$165.30
Upside-59.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.71%2.82%3.433.323.122.892.712.602.673.122.932.69
YoY Growth--3.20%6.50%7.78%6.78%4.37%-2.90%-14.37%6.58%8.76%3.82%
Dividend Yield--2.07%2.15%2.17%2.61%1.45%1.76%3.02%5.49%4.53%4.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,541.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,805.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,736.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,108.20692.63415.58
Cash Retained (M)1,736.001,736.001,736.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,108.20-692.63-415.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)627.801,043.381,320.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,110.251,110.251,110.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.570.941.19
LTM Dividend per Share3.433.433.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.570.941.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.994.374.62
WACC / Discount Rate10.99%10.99%10.99%
Growth Rate3.77%4.77%5.77%
Fair Value$57.31$73.45$93.38
Upside / Downside-65.33%-55.56%-43.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,541.005,805.076,081.736,371.576,675.236,993.367,203.16
Payout Ratio68.67%72.94%77.20%81.47%85.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,805.004,233.984,695.215,190.795,722.946,294.026,662.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.99%10.99%10.99%
Growth Rate3.77%4.77%5.77%
Year 1 PV (M)3,778.183,814.593,851.00
Year 2 PV (M)3,738.723,811.133,884.23
Year 3 PV (M)3,688.373,796.043,905.78
Year 4 PV (M)3,628.733,770.643,916.68
Year 5 PV (M)3,561.213,736.143,917.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,157.3049,473.8251,880.49
Equity Value (M)65,552.5168,402.3671,356.07
Shares Outstanding (M)1,110.251,110.251,110.25
Fair Value$59.04$61.61$64.27
Upside / Downside-64.28%-62.73%-61.12%

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