Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Qualitas Limited (QAL.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.03 - $39.72$37.22
Multi-Stage$5.76 - $6.30$6.02
Blended Fair Value$21.62
Current Price$3.45
Upside526.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS34.14%0.00%0.080.080.060.000.020.020.010.020.000.00
YoY Growth--7.43%29.92%0.00%-100.00%-1.07%35.86%-36.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.39%3.28%2.20%0.00%0.72%0.73%0.54%0.84%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.927.454.47
Cash Retained (M)20.2120.2120.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.92-7.45-4.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.2912.7615.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)298.36298.36298.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15.03$37.22$39.72
Upside / Downside335.53%978.98%1,051.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.5963.4667.5971.9876.6681.6484.09
Payout Ratio66.09%70.87%75.66%80.44%85.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.3944.9851.1457.9065.3373.4877.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)41.7942.1942.58
Year 2 PV (M)44.1444.9845.83
Year 3 PV (M)46.4447.7749.13
Year 4 PV (M)48.6850.5552.48
Year 5 PV (M)50.8753.3355.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,486.811,558.631,633.19
Equity Value (M)1,718.731,797.441,879.08
Shares Outstanding (M)298.36298.36298.36
Fair Value$5.76$6.02$6.30
Upside / Downside66.97%74.62%82.55%

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