Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Palm Valley Capital Fund Investor Class (PVCMX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.57 - $19.00$15.60
Multi-Stage$33.69 - $37.08$35.35
Blended Fair Value$25.48
Current Price$12.91
Upside97.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220202019201820172016201520142013
DPS-0.99%0.13%1.241.061.301.300.001.301.301.181.181.18
YoY Growth--16.46%-18.31%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%10.71%0.00%0.00%-3.86%
Dividend Yield--9.59%8.83%10.75%13.05%0.00%12.99%12.99%11.73%11.73%11.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.063.161.90
Cash Retained (M)4.104.104.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.06-3.16-1.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.970.932.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.1417.1417.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.050.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.241.241.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.050.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.291.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.13%6.13%6.13%
Growth Rate-2.99%-1.99%-0.99%
Fair Value$12.57$15.60$19.00
Upside / Downside-2.63%20.85%47.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25.3124.8124.3123.8323.3522.8923.57
Payout Ratio83.81%85.05%86.29%87.53%88.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.2121.1020.9820.8620.7320.6021.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.13%6.13%6.13%
Growth Rate-2.99%-1.99%-0.99%
Year 1 PV (M)19.6819.8820.08
Year 2 PV (M)18.2518.6319.01
Year 3 PV (M)16.9217.4517.99
Year 4 PV (M)15.6916.3417.02
Year 5 PV (M)14.5415.3016.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)492.37518.28545.26
Equity Value (M)577.44605.88635.46
Shares Outstanding (M)17.1417.1417.14
Fair Value$33.69$35.35$37.08
Upside / Downside160.99%173.84%187.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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