Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Publicis Groupe S.A. (PUB.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$855.76 - $2,496.15$2,339.26
Multi-Stage$346.47 - $378.96$362.42
Blended Fair Value$1,350.84
Current Price$95.68
Upside1,311.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.51%22.62%3.372.870.330.900.401.130.830.670.760.95
YoY Growth--17.49%772.60%-63.35%122.55%-64.21%35.71%23.53%-11.92%-19.58%116.22%
Dividend Yield--3.28%3.42%0.55%1.52%0.99%2.79%1.66%1.22%1.16%1.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,173.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,579.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,594.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)634.60396.63237.98
Cash Retained (M)1,594.001,594.001,594.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-634.60-396.63-237.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)959.401,197.381,356.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)252.80252.80252.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.804.745.36
LTM Dividend per Share6.256.256.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.804.745.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.0410.9811.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$855.76$2,339.26$2,496.15
Upside / Downside794.40%2,344.88%2,508.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,173.003,379.253,598.903,832.824,081.964,347.284,477.70
Payout Ratio49.76%57.81%65.86%73.91%81.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,579.001,953.572,370.172,832.673,345.283,912.564,141.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,813.071,830.251,847.44
Year 2 PV (M)2,041.492,080.382,119.63
Year 3 PV (M)2,264.372,329.382,395.61
Year 4 PV (M)2,481.812,577.262,675.43
Year 5 PV (M)2,693.902,824.022,959.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)76,294.2079,979.2483,805.31
Equity Value (M)87,588.8591,620.5295,802.53
Shares Outstanding (M)252.80252.80252.80
Fair Value$346.47$362.42$378.96
Upside / Downside262.12%278.78%296.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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