Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Prodia Widyahusada Tbk (PRDA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,134.24 - $40,859.82$21,311.17
Multi-Stage$4,927.83 - $5,378.36$5,149.02
Blended Fair Value$13,230.09
Current Price$2,650.00
Upside399.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.14%10.37%167.73240.38402.07173.83113.3394.5765.0228.5080.85107.80
YoY Growth---30.22%-40.21%131.30%53.38%19.84%45.44%128.14%-64.75%-25.00%72.41%
Dividend Yield--6.48%6.21%6.84%2.17%2.83%3.21%2.24%0.78%1.60%1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)190,589.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)162,118.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)28,471.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38,117.8023,823.6314,294.18
Cash Retained (M)28,471.0028,471.0028,471.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-38,117.80-23,823.63-14,294.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)-9,646.804,647.3814,176.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)927.64927.64927.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share-10.405.0115.28
LTM Dividend per Share174.76174.76174.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share-10.405.0115.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend164.36179.77190.05
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9,134.24$21,311.17$40,859.82
Upside / Downside244.69%704.19%1,441.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)190,589.00202,977.29216,170.81230,221.91245,186.34261,123.45268,957.15
Payout Ratio85.06%86.05%87.04%88.02%89.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)162,118.00174,660.45188,148.46202,651.98218,246.03235,011.10248,785.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)161,101.52162,628.55164,155.58
Year 2 PV (M)160,070.32163,119.21166,196.86
Year 3 PV (M)159,025.24163,590.28168,241.86
Year 4 PV (M)157,967.09164,042.06170,290.59
Year 5 PV (M)156,896.66164,474.83172,343.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,776,209.343,958,601.664,147,974.57
Equity Value (M)4,571,270.174,776,456.594,989,202.49
Shares Outstanding (M)927.64927.64927.64
Fair Value$4,927.83$5,149.02$5,378.36
Upside / Downside85.96%94.30%102.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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