Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.87 - $60.96$49.73
Multi-Stage$58.20 - $63.66$60.88
Blended Fair Value$55.30
Current Price$105.11
Upside-47.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.85%5.59%2.712.612.492.342.162.041.981.891.811.67
YoY Growth--4.01%4.91%6.34%8.06%5.98%3.31%4.38%4.83%8.09%6.09%
Dividend Yield--2.48%1.82%1.86%1.78%1.44%2.44%1.73%1.70%1.72%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)996.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)626.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)370.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)199.20124.5074.70
Cash Retained (M)370.00370.00370.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-199.20-124.50-74.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)170.80245.50295.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)229.35229.35229.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.741.071.29
LTM Dividend per Share2.732.732.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.741.071.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.473.804.02
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate0.33%1.33%2.33%
Fair Value$39.87$49.73$60.96
Upside / Downside-62.07%-52.69%-42.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)996.001,009.231,022.631,036.221,049.981,063.931,095.85
Payout Ratio62.85%68.28%73.71%79.14%84.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)626.00689.11753.79820.07887.97957.541,013.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate0.33%1.33%2.33%
Year 1 PV (M)625.57631.80638.04
Year 2 PV (M)621.18633.63646.20
Year 3 PV (M)613.48632.01650.91
Year 4 PV (M)603.03627.43652.57
Year 5 PV (M)590.31620.32651.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,293.7310,817.0611,361.46
Equity Value (M)13,347.3013,962.2514,600.71
Shares Outstanding (M)229.35229.35229.35
Fair Value$58.20$60.88$63.66
Upside / Downside-44.63%-42.08%-39.43%

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