Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Prime Office Leasehold Property Fund (POPF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.32 - $11.22$9.14
Multi-Stage$16.68 - $18.32$17.48
Blended Fair Value$13.31
Current Price$6.30
Upside111.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.72%-0.07%0.770.791.031.051.021.030.931.081.031.01
YoY Growth---3.12%-23.06%-1.69%2.65%-0.96%11.40%-14.19%4.77%2.50%29.88%
Dividend Yield--13.51%12.62%9.22%8.91%9.48%9.07%6.98%7.78%7.70%5.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)391.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)317.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)73.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)78.2448.9029.34
Cash Retained (M)73.5473.5473.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-78.24-48.90-29.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4.7124.6344.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)481.64481.64481.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.050.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.050.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate-2.07%-1.07%-0.07%
Fair Value$7.32$9.14$11.22
Upside / Downside16.17%45.04%78.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)391.22387.05382.92378.83374.78370.78381.90
Payout Ratio81.20%82.96%84.72%86.48%88.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)317.69321.11324.41327.62330.71333.70353.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate-2.07%-1.07%-0.07%
Year 1 PV (M)298.10301.15304.19
Year 2 PV (M)279.60285.34291.14
Year 3 PV (M)262.13270.25278.52
Year 4 PV (M)245.66255.84266.35
Year 5 PV (M)230.12242.11254.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,715.977,065.937,430.34
Equity Value (M)8,031.598,420.628,825.13
Shares Outstanding (M)481.64481.64481.64
Fair Value$16.68$17.48$18.32
Upside / Downside164.69%177.51%190.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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