Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PM Thoresen Asia Holdings Public Company Limited (PMTA.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.55 - $37.85$28.48
Multi-Stage$41.60 - $45.70$43.61
Blended Fair Value$36.05
Current Price$10.00
Upside260.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.36%-18.89%0.400.300.500.700.500.501.001.171.120.00
YoY Growth--33.33%-40.00%-28.57%40.00%0.00%-50.00%-14.53%4.46%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--5.09%3.33%4.95%4.34%4.71%8.84%10.09%6.72%4.93%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)165.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)101.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)64.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.1920.7412.45
Cash Retained (M)64.7564.7564.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.19-20.74-12.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)31.5644.0152.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)101.31101.31101.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.430.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.430.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.311.431.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate0.12%1.12%2.12%
Fair Value$21.55$28.48$37.85
Upside / Downside115.50%184.84%278.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)165.95167.80169.68171.57173.49175.43180.69
Payout Ratio60.98%66.79%72.59%78.39%84.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)101.20112.07123.17134.50146.07157.88167.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate0.12%1.12%2.12%
Year 1 PV (M)104.48105.52106.57
Year 2 PV (M)107.05109.20111.37
Year 3 PV (M)108.98112.28115.64
Year 4 PV (M)110.34114.81119.42
Year 5 PV (M)111.18116.85122.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,672.563,859.674,054.34
Equity Value (M)4,214.584,418.334,630.07
Shares Outstanding (M)101.31101.31101.31
Fair Value$41.60$43.61$45.70
Upside / Downside316.01%336.12%357.02%

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