Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Pinthong Industrial Park Public Company Limited (PIN.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$114.22 - $187.07$175.31
Multi-Stage$31.12 - $34.03$32.55
Blended Fair Value$103.93
Current Price$4.08
Upside2,447.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS43.34%0.00%0.590.150.151.540.090.100.040.020.000.00
YoY Growth--293.33%0.01%-90.24%1,608.33%-7.69%150.00%73.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.36%2.11%4.03%40.67%2.31%2.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,091.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)881.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)209.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)218.23136.3981.84
Cash Retained (M)209.61209.61209.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-218.23-136.39-81.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)-8.6273.21127.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,160.001,160.001,160.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.060.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.760.760.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.060.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.750.820.87
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$114.22$175.31$187.07
Upside / Downside2,699.43%4,196.87%4,485.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,091.141,162.071,237.601,318.051,403.721,494.961,539.81
Payout Ratio80.79%82.63%84.47%86.32%88.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)881.54960.241,045.461,137.691,237.491,345.471,424.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)895.74904.23912.72
Year 2 PV (M)909.71927.04944.53
Year 3 PV (M)923.46949.97976.98
Year 4 PV (M)936.99973.031,010.09
Year 5 PV (M)950.31996.211,043.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,486.1333,006.9234,585.92
Equity Value (M)36,102.3437,757.3939,474.10
Shares Outstanding (M)1,160.001,160.001,160.00
Fair Value$31.12$32.55$34.03
Upside / Downside662.81%697.78%734.05%

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