Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$555.32 - $1,231.95$800.93
Multi-Stage$402.31 - $439.31$420.47
Blended Fair Value$610.70
Current Price$758.15
Upside-19.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.66%9.72%6.646.035.434.393.663.503.182.822.662.64
YoY Growth--10.10%11.08%23.55%19.93%4.70%10.03%12.92%5.76%1.00%0.46%
Dividend Yield--0.88%0.95%1.39%1.81%1.31%1.73%1.76%1.52%1.52%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,640.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)879.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,761.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)728.12455.07273.04
Cash Retained (M)2,761.522,761.522,761.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-728.12-455.07-273.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,033.402,306.442,488.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)129.73129.73129.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share15.6717.7819.18
LTM Dividend per Share6.786.786.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share15.6717.7819.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend22.4524.5625.96
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$555.32$800.93$1,231.95
Upside / Downside-26.75%5.64%62.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,640.583,877.224,129.244,397.644,683.484,987.915,137.55
Payout Ratio24.15%37.32%50.49%63.66%76.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)879.061,446.862,084.762,799.473,598.294,489.124,752.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,305.771,318.141,330.52
Year 2 PV (M)1,697.981,730.321,762.97
Year 3 PV (M)2,057.742,116.812,177.00
Year 4 PV (M)2,386.992,478.782,573.20
Year 5 PV (M)2,687.532,817.342,952.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,054.7844,086.0446,195.04
Equity Value (M)52,190.7954,547.4456,990.86
Shares Outstanding (M)129.73129.73129.73
Fair Value$402.31$420.47$439.31
Upside / Downside-46.94%-44.54%-42.06%

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