Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Empreendimentos Pague Menos S.A. (PGMN3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.37 - $13.68$9.08
Multi-Stage$4.98 - $5.42$5.19
Blended Fair Value$7.14
Current Price$3.60
Upside98.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.35%0.070.140.000.000.000.000.000.000.070.09
YoY Growth---47.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-21.95%33.99%
Dividend Yield--2.32%5.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.90%1.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)197.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)147.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.5024.6914.81
Cash Retained (M)50.1950.1950.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.50-24.69-14.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.6925.5035.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)591.37591.37591.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.040.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.040.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.37$9.08$13.68
Upside / Downside76.85%152.24%280.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)197.50210.33224.00238.57254.07270.59278.70
Payout Ratio74.59%77.67%80.75%83.84%86.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)147.31163.37180.89200.00220.83243.53257.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)147.22148.62150.01
Year 2 PV (M)146.90149.70152.52
Year 3 PV (M)146.36150.56154.85
Year 4 PV (M)145.63151.23156.99
Year 5 PV (M)144.72151.71158.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,211.682,318.502,429.41
Equity Value (M)2,942.513,070.323,202.76
Shares Outstanding (M)591.37591.37591.37
Fair Value$4.98$5.19$5.42
Upside / Downside38.21%44.22%50.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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