Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Peoples Bancorp Inc. (PEBO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$94.71 - $501.36$171.07
Multi-Stage$58.31 - $63.67$60.94
Blended Fair Value$116.01
Current Price$29.99
Upside286.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.57%23.49%1.581.471.200.880.770.730.590.420.320.28
YoY Growth--7.68%22.36%36.68%14.60%4.28%24.04%42.22%31.62%11.01%48.74%
Dividend Yield--5.33%5.11%4.66%2.80%2.31%3.32%1.88%1.17%1.00%1.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)101.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)57.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)44.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.3912.747.65
Cash Retained (M)44.4544.4544.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.39-12.74-7.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)24.0631.7036.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.3235.3235.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.901.04
LTM Dividend per Share1.631.631.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.901.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.312.532.67
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$94.71$171.07$501.36
Upside / Downside215.81%470.42%1,571.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)101.95108.58115.64123.16131.16139.69143.88
Payout Ratio56.40%63.12%69.84%76.56%83.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)57.5168.5480.7694.29109.23125.72133.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)62.8263.4264.02
Year 2 PV (M)67.8669.1570.45
Year 3 PV (M)72.6174.7076.82
Year 4 PV (M)77.1180.0783.12
Year 5 PV (M)81.3585.2789.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,697.621,779.621,864.75
Equity Value (M)2,059.372,152.242,248.52
Shares Outstanding (M)35.3235.3235.32
Fair Value$58.31$60.94$63.67
Upside / Downside94.44%103.20%112.29%

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