Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NTT System S.A. (NTT.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.58 - $138.50$69.02
Multi-Stage$27.41 - $29.99$28.68
Blended Fair Value$48.85
Current Price$8.88
Upside450.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.33%0.00%0.150.000.300.150.070.110.120.000.320.15
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%100.00%114.35%-36.59%-8.79%0.00%-100.00%113.25%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.69%0.00%5.76%2.98%1.05%5.53%5.34%0.00%14.02%5.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.282.681.61
Cash Retained (M)19.3719.3719.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.28-2.68-1.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.0916.6917.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.5213.5213.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.231.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.231.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.271.381.46
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate5.46%6.46%7.46%
Fair Value$42.58$69.02$138.50
Upside / Downside379.48%677.28%1,459.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21.4022.7824.2525.8227.4929.2630.14
Payout Ratio9.49%25.60%41.70%57.80%73.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.035.8310.1114.9220.3126.3327.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate5.46%6.46%7.46%
Year 1 PV (M)5.325.375.42
Year 2 PV (M)8.428.588.74
Year 3 PV (M)11.3311.6511.99
Year 4 PV (M)14.0714.6115.16
Year 5 PV (M)16.6417.4418.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)314.95330.17345.97
Equity Value (M)370.72387.82405.56
Shares Outstanding (M)13.5213.5213.52
Fair Value$27.41$28.68$29.99
Upside / Downside208.72%222.96%237.73%

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