Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Nutrition SC Public Company Limited (NTSC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.37 - $9.14$7.72
Multi-Stage$9.95 - $10.94$10.44
Blended Fair Value$9.08
Current Price$5.70
Upside59.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.220.003.680.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.08%0.00%133.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)114.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)98.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.8814.308.58
Cash Retained (M)98.4198.4198.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.88-14.30-8.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)75.5384.1189.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)124.88124.88124.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.600.670.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.600.670.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.85
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.37$7.72$9.14
Upside / Downside11.76%35.50%60.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)114.41113.27112.13111.01109.90108.80112.07
Payout Ratio13.98%29.19%44.39%59.59%74.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.0033.0649.7866.1682.2097.92103.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)29.9530.2530.56
Year 2 PV (M)40.8541.6942.53
Year 3 PV (M)49.1850.7052.25
Year 4 PV (M)55.3657.6560.02
Year 5 PV (M)59.7462.8566.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,007.721,060.191,114.83
Equity Value (M)1,242.791,303.331,366.28
Shares Outstanding (M)124.88124.88124.88
Fair Value$9.95$10.44$10.94
Upside / Downside74.59%83.10%91.94%

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