Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Navigator Global Investments Limited (NGI.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - GlobalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.77 - $2.38$2.09
Multi-Stage$3.13 - $3.45$3.29
Blended Fair Value$2.69
Current Price$1.12
Upside140.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-9.84%0.51%0.040.020.020.080.050.070.070.060.050.04
YoY Growth--86.30%0.17%-71.34%70.53%-34.70%2.76%12.55%16.02%22.07%7.87%
Dividend Yield--3.77%1.73%2.72%9.77%3.70%9.25%2.64%1.65%3.05%2.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)156.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)125.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.2119.5111.70
Cash Retained (M)125.20125.20125.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.21-19.51-11.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.99105.69113.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)398.06398.06398.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate-6.67%-5.67%-4.67%
Fair Value$1.77$2.09$2.38
Upside / Downside58.42%86.43%112.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)156.06147.22138.88131.01123.59116.58120.08
Payout Ratio19.77%33.82%47.86%61.91%75.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.8649.7966.4781.1193.87104.93111.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.83%9.83%9.83%
Growth Rate-6.67%-5.67%-4.67%
Year 1 PV (M)44.8545.3345.81
Year 2 PV (M)53.9455.1056.28
Year 3 PV (M)59.2961.2163.18
Year 4 PV (M)61.8164.5167.28
Year 5 PV (M)62.2465.6569.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)964.301,017.081,072.14
Equity Value (M)1,246.431,308.881,373.90
Shares Outstanding (M)398.06398.06398.06
Fair Value$3.13$3.29$3.45
Upside / Downside179.58%193.59%208.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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