Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

NewMarket Corporation (NEU)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$801.61 - $1,604.01$1,114.21
Multi-Stage$878.48 - $962.86$919.88
Blended Fair Value$1,017.05
Current Price$828.21
Upside22.80%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.26%4.91%10.148.998.919.088.828.648.518.768.027.48
YoY Growth--12.78%0.91%-1.92%2.99%2.13%1.53%-2.94%9.31%7.16%19.13%
Dividend Yield--1.79%1.42%2.44%2.80%2.32%2.26%1.98%2.18%1.77%1.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)448.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)101.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)346.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)89.6456.0333.62
Cash Retained (M)346.52346.52346.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-89.64-56.03-33.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)256.88290.49312.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.469.469.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share27.1630.7233.08
LTM Dividend per Share10.7510.7510.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share27.1630.7233.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend37.9141.4743.84
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate2.91%3.91%4.91%
Fair Value$801.61$1,114.21$1,604.01
Upside / Downside-3.21%34.53%93.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)448.20465.71483.91502.81522.46542.87559.16
Payout Ratio22.69%36.15%49.61%63.07%76.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)101.68168.35240.08317.15399.87488.58517.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate2.91%3.91%4.91%
Year 1 PV (M)154.70156.21157.71
Year 2 PV (M)202.73206.69210.69
Year 3 PV (M)246.11253.35260.74
Year 4 PV (M)285.15296.39307.97
Year 5 PV (M)320.16336.02352.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,099.587,451.307,816.82
Equity Value (M)8,308.438,699.969,106.43
Shares Outstanding (M)9.469.469.46
Fair Value$878.48$919.88$962.86
Upside / Downside6.07%11.07%16.26%

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