Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

NCR Corporation (NCR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.78 - $55.59$47.66
Multi-Stage$54.27 - $59.65$56.91
Blended Fair Value$52.29
Current Price$15.73
Upside232.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.110.100.060.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%6.67%66.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.47%0.26%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)943.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)927.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)188.60117.8870.73
Cash Retained (M)927.00927.00927.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-188.60-117.88-70.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)738.40809.13856.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)144.70144.70144.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.105.595.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.105.595.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.215.706.03
WACC / Discount Rate10.84%10.84%10.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$39.78$47.66$55.59
Upside / Downside152.88%203.00%253.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)943.00933.57924.23914.99905.84896.78923.69
Payout Ratio1.70%19.36%37.02%54.68%72.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.00180.71342.13500.31655.28807.11854.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.84%10.84%10.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)161.39163.03164.68
Year 2 PV (M)272.87278.46284.12
Year 3 PV (M)356.34367.36378.61
Year 4 PV (M)416.81434.08451.89
Year 5 PV (M)458.48482.35507.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,187.326,509.516,844.98
Equity Value (M)7,853.218,234.818,631.49
Shares Outstanding (M)144.70144.70144.70
Fair Value$54.27$56.91$59.65
Upside / Downside245.02%261.79%279.22%

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