Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Masterflex SE (MZX.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.67 - $17.99$13.87
Multi-Stage$11.91 - $13.03$12.46
Blended Fair Value$13.17
Current Price$12.55
Upside4.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.47%0.00%0.260.210.120.080.070.070.070.050.000.00
YoY Growth--24.01%71.06%49.87%14.41%0.00%0.00%39.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.47%2.10%1.12%1.27%1.10%1.63%1.12%0.57%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.661.040.62
Cash Retained (M)5.905.905.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.66-1.04-0.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.244.865.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.599.599.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.510.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.510.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.690.760.80
WACC / Discount Rate9.27%9.27%9.27%
Growth Rate2.61%3.61%4.61%
Fair Value$10.67$13.87$17.99
Upside / Downside-14.95%10.55%43.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8.308.608.919.239.579.9110.21
Payout Ratio28.96%41.17%53.38%65.58%77.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.403.544.766.067.448.929.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.27%9.27%9.27%
Growth Rate2.61%3.61%4.61%
Year 1 PV (M)3.213.243.27
Year 2 PV (M)3.913.984.06
Year 3 PV (M)4.514.644.78
Year 4 PV (M)5.025.225.43
Year 5 PV (M)5.465.736.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)92.1596.73101.49
Equity Value (M)114.26119.55125.03
Shares Outstanding (M)9.599.599.59
Fair Value$11.91$12.46$13.03
Upside / Downside-5.10%-0.71%3.85%

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