Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Mayfield Group Holdings Limited (MYG.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.85 - $1.20$1.02
Multi-Stage$1.32 - $1.45$1.38
Blended Fair Value$1.20
Current Price$1.05
Upside14.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS21.01%0.00%0.030.020.010.000.000.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--53.14%181.62%0.00%-100.00%-97.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.84%2.87%1.67%0.00%0.06%0.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.371.480.89
Cash Retained (M)7.287.287.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.37-1.48-0.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.905.796.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)92.9592.9592.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.85$1.02$1.20
Upside / Downside-19.23%-2.49%14.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.8611.7411.6311.5111.3911.2811.62
Payout Ratio38.65%48.92%59.19%69.46%79.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.585.756.887.999.0810.1510.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.185.235.29
Year 2 PV (M)5.595.715.82
Year 3 PV (M)5.866.046.22
Year 4 PV (M)6.006.256.51
Year 5 PV (M)6.056.366.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)94.2099.10104.21
Equity Value (M)122.88128.69134.74
Shares Outstanding (M)92.9592.9592.95
Fair Value$1.32$1.38$1.45
Upside / Downside25.90%31.86%38.05%

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