Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mastersystem Infotama Tbk. (MSTI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,495.99 - $2,282.27$1,864.17
Multi-Stage$3,258.25 - $3,580.62$3,416.29
Blended Fair Value$2,640.23
Current Price$1,565.00
Upside68.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%99.83111.4952.56127.4227.550.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---10.46%112.12%-58.75%362.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.11%7.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)528,628.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)370,451.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)158,177.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105,725.7566,078.5939,647.15
Cash Retained (M)158,177.62158,177.62158,177.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-105,725.75-66,078.59-39,647.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)52,451.8792,099.03118,530.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,139.273,139.273,139.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.7129.3437.76
LTM Dividend per Share118.01118.01118.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.7129.3437.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend134.71147.34155.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,495.99$1,864.17$2,282.27
Upside / Downside-4.41%19.12%45.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)528,628.73523,342.44518,109.02512,927.93507,798.65502,720.66517,802.28
Payout Ratio70.08%74.06%78.05%82.03%86.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)370,451.11387,598.92404,366.73420,760.42436,785.80452,448.60478,967.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)359,170.73362,835.73366,500.74
Year 2 PV (M)347,225.94354,348.34361,543.05
Year 3 PV (M)334,803.51345,157.54355,722.86
Year 4 PV (M)322,063.87335,411.92349,170.63
Year 5 PV (M)309,144.21325,242.07342,003.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,556,126.019,001,663.349,465,570.48
Equity Value (M)10,228,534.2710,724,658.9311,240,511.41
Shares Outstanding (M)3,139.273,139.273,139.27
Fair Value$3,258.25$3,416.29$3,580.62
Upside / Downside108.20%118.29%128.79%

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