Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Moog Inc. (MOG-A)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$118.95 - $230.15$163.27
Multi-Stage$107.72 - $117.91$112.72
Blended Fair Value$137.99
Current Price$204.64
Upside-32.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.64%0.00%1.131.101.061.031.000.781.080.560.000.00
YoY Growth--2.69%4.11%3.35%2.69%27.35%-27.68%94.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.55%0.56%0.73%1.17%1.23%0.99%1.27%0.72%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)235.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)207.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.0129.3817.63
Cash Retained (M)207.78207.78207.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.01-29.38-17.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)160.78178.40190.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.1332.1332.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.005.555.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.850.850.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.005.555.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.856.406.77
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Fair Value$118.95$163.27$230.15
Upside / Downside-41.87%-20.22%12.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)235.03246.79259.13272.09285.70300.00309.00
Payout Ratio11.59%27.27%42.96%58.64%74.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.2567.31111.31159.55212.33270.00285.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Year 1 PV (M)61.1061.6862.27
Year 2 PV (M)91.7193.4895.27
Year 3 PV (M)119.32122.80126.34
Year 4 PV (M)144.14149.77155.55
Year 5 PV (M)166.37174.52183.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,878.293,019.353,165.89
Equity Value (M)3,460.943,621.613,788.33
Shares Outstanding (M)32.1332.1332.13
Fair Value$107.72$112.72$117.91
Upside / Downside-47.36%-44.92%-42.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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