Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. (MOFG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.44 - $392.88$152.98
Multi-Stage$53.88 - $58.89$56.34
Blended Fair Value$104.66
Current Price$28.29
Upside269.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.54%12.99%0.790.730.710.690.680.550.460.390.350.30
YoY Growth--8.50%2.33%4.12%0.75%23.52%20.36%18.29%10.17%15.34%30.32%
Dividend Yield--2.68%3.20%2.93%2.07%2.20%2.63%1.60%1.16%1.03%1.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.697.314.38
Cash Retained (M)39.5039.5039.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.69-7.31-4.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.8132.1935.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.8220.8220.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.341.551.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.341.551.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.252.462.60
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$87.44$152.98$392.88
Upside / Downside209.10%440.76%1,288.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58.4662.2666.3170.6275.2180.1082.50
Payout Ratio32.44%43.95%55.46%66.98%78.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.9627.3636.7847.3059.0372.0976.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.21%8.21%8.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25.0525.2925.53
Year 2 PV (M)30.8231.4132.00
Year 3 PV (M)36.2937.3338.39
Year 4 PV (M)41.4643.0544.69
Year 5 PV (M)46.3548.5950.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)941.58987.061,034.28
Equity Value (M)1,121.541,172.721,225.80
Shares Outstanding (M)20.8220.8220.82
Fair Value$53.88$56.34$58.89
Upside / Downside90.46%99.15%108.16%

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