Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

3M Company (MMM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.48 - $50.85$43.66
Multi-Stage$74.19 - $81.46$77.75
Blended Fair Value$60.71
Current Price$155.18
Upside-60.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.78%-1.11%3.646.076.186.276.226.085.865.144.914.70
YoY Growth---40.14%-1.72%-1.49%0.94%2.17%3.85%13.91%4.67%4.57%15.57%
Dividend Yield--2.48%6.46%7.03%5.04%3.86%5.33%3.31%2.80%3.07%3.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,401.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,339.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,062.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)680.20425.13255.08
Cash Retained (M)1,062.001,062.001,062.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-680.20-425.13-255.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)381.80636.88806.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)545.08545.08545.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.701.171.48
LTM Dividend per Share4.294.294.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.701.171.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.995.465.77
WACC / Discount Rate8.51%8.51%8.51%
Growth Rate-4.55%-3.55%-2.55%
Fair Value$36.48$43.66$50.85
Upside / Downside-76.49%-71.86%-67.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,401.003,280.233,163.763,051.422,943.072,838.562,923.72
Payout Ratio68.77%73.02%77.26%81.51%85.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,339.002,395.202,444.462,487.202,523.822,554.702,704.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.51%8.51%8.51%
Growth Rate-4.55%-3.55%-2.55%
Year 1 PV (M)2,184.482,207.372,230.25
Year 2 PV (M)2,033.272,076.102,119.38
Year 3 PV (M)1,886.821,946.752,007.93
Year 4 PV (M)1,746.171,820.501,897.18
Year 5 PV (M)1,612.041,698.271,788.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,975.3732,632.3434,359.47
Equity Value (M)40,438.1542,381.3244,402.37
Shares Outstanding (M)545.08545.08545.08
Fair Value$74.19$77.75$81.46
Upside / Downside-52.19%-49.89%-47.51%

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