Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Multi Hanna Kreasindo Tbk. (MHKI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.39 - $94.10$80.07
Multi-Stage$101.09 - $110.92$105.91
Blended Fair Value$92.99
Current Price$180.00
Upside-48.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.790.005.510.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.86%0.00%2.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36,784.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,932.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)25,852.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,357.004,598.122,758.87
Cash Retained (M)25,852.8225,852.8225,852.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,357.00-4,598.12-2,758.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)18,495.8321,254.7023,093.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,641.103,641.103,641.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.085.846.34
LTM Dividend per Share3.003.003.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.085.846.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.088.849.35
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$66.39$80.07$94.10
Upside / Downside-63.12%-55.52%-47.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36,784.9836,417.1336,052.9635,692.4335,335.5034,982.1536,031.61
Payout Ratio29.72%41.78%53.83%65.89%77.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,932.1515,213.3519,407.8323,516.8927,541.8431,483.9333,329.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)13,699.2813,839.0713,978.86
Year 2 PV (M)15,737.0316,059.8316,385.91
Year 3 PV (M)17,171.1217,702.1518,244.02
Year 4 PV (M)18,108.5918,859.1019,632.71
Year 5 PV (M)18,640.3319,610.9720,621.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)284,727.19299,553.60314,991.31
Equity Value (M)368,083.53385,624.72403,854.43
Shares Outstanding (M)3,641.103,641.103,641.10
Fair Value$101.09$105.91$110.92
Upside / Downside-43.84%-41.16%-38.38%

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