Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

MAAS Group Holdings Limited (MGH.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.58 - $5.37$4.43
Multi-Stage$7.01 - $7.72$7.36
Blended Fair Value$5.89
Current Price$4.24
Upside38.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.070.060.060.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--27.10%2.85%332.59%227.21%0.00%-100.00%-1.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.74%1.37%2.12%0.36%0.07%0.00%0.07%0.07%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9818.1210.87
Cash Retained (M)91.2891.2891.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.98-18.12-10.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)62.2973.1680.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)339.40339.40339.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.58$4.43$5.37
Upside / Downside-15.61%4.40%26.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.92143.47142.04140.62139.21137.82141.95
Payout Ratio37.02%47.61%58.21%68.81%79.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.6468.3182.6896.75110.54124.04131.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)62.9963.6364.27
Year 2 PV (M)70.2971.7473.19
Year 3 PV (M)75.8578.2080.59
Year 4 PV (M)79.9083.2286.63
Year 5 PV (M)82.6786.9891.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,009.092,113.712,222.64
Equity Value (M)2,380.802,497.462,618.78
Shares Outstanding (M)339.40339.40339.40
Fair Value$7.01$7.36$7.72
Upside / Downside65.44%73.55%81.98%

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