Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Meta Platforms, Inc. (META)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$341.32 - $625.83$458.87
Multi-Stage$260.00 - $283.93$271.75
Blended Fair Value$365.31
Current Price$734.38
Upside-50.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.960.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58,528.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,256.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)53,272.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,705.607,316.004,389.60
Cash Retained (M)53,272.0053,272.0053,272.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,705.60-7,316.00-4,389.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)41,566.4045,956.0048,882.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,586.502,586.502,586.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.0717.7718.90
LTM Dividend per Share2.032.032.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.0717.7718.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.1019.8020.93
WACC / Discount Rate11.10%11.10%11.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$341.32$458.87$625.83
Upside / Downside-53.52%-37.52%-14.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58,528.0062,332.3266,383.9270,698.8875,294.3080,188.4382,594.09
Payout Ratio8.98%25.18%41.39%57.59%73.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,256.0015,697.9327,475.1040,716.9955,564.2372,169.5976,399.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.10%11.10%11.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13,997.4614,130.1314,262.81
Year 2 PV (M)21,845.0422,261.1322,681.14
Year 3 PV (M)28,866.6229,695.2830,539.64
Year 4 PV (M)35,125.4936,476.3237,865.73
Year 5 PV (M)40,680.6742,645.5644,685.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)531,968.67557,662.96584,340.63
Equity Value (M)672,483.94702,871.37734,375.60
Shares Outstanding (M)2,586.502,586.502,586.50
Fair Value$260.00$271.75$283.93
Upside / Downside-64.60%-63.00%-61.34%

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