Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Mercantil Financeira S.A. - Crédito, Financiamento e Investimento (MERC4.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.90 - $11.98$9.82
Multi-Stage$11.85 - $13.00$12.41
Blended Fair Value$11.12
Current Price$12.30
Upside-9.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.51%0.00%0.220.080.080.100.120.170.220.000.000.00
YoY Growth--182.21%-5.81%-12.61%-21.07%-28.67%-23.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.34%1.13%1.29%1.18%1.16%1.76%2.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.324.572.74
Cash Retained (M)24.4024.4024.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.32-4.57-2.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.0819.8321.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)41.0041.0041.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.480.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.480.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.710.780.83
WACC / Discount Rate8.76%8.76%8.76%
Growth Rate-0.25%0.75%1.75%
Fair Value$7.90$9.82$11.98
Upside / Downside-35.74%-20.15%-2.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.5836.8537.1337.4137.6937.9739.11
Payout Ratio33.30%44.64%55.98%67.32%78.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.1816.4520.7825.1829.6434.1736.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.76%8.76%8.76%
Growth Rate-0.25%0.75%1.75%
Year 1 PV (M)14.9815.1315.28
Year 2 PV (M)17.2317.5717.92
Year 3 PV (M)19.0019.5820.16
Year 4 PV (M)20.3621.1922.04
Year 5 PV (M)21.3722.4623.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)392.93413.03433.94
Equity Value (M)485.86508.95532.94
Shares Outstanding (M)41.0041.0041.00
Fair Value$11.85$12.41$13.00
Upside / Downside-3.65%0.93%5.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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