Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

M. Dias Branco S.A. Indústria e Comércio de Alimentos (MDIA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.61 - $128.49$73.19
Multi-Stage$32.43 - $35.43$33.90
Blended Fair Value$53.54
Current Price$28.74
Upside86.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.80%6.58%0.650.211.930.660.250.410.390.520.410.57
YoY Growth--217.91%-89.36%195.15%161.28%-38.85%5.01%-24.91%27.87%-28.98%65.53%
Dividend Yield--2.88%0.55%7.96%2.78%0.91%1.60%1.05%1.19%1.11%3.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)678.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)164.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)514.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)135.6784.8050.88
Cash Retained (M)514.02514.02514.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-135.67-84.80-50.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)378.34429.22463.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)338.79338.79338.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.271.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.271.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.601.751.85
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47.61$73.19$128.49
Upside / Downside65.66%154.65%347.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)678.37722.46769.42819.43872.69929.42957.30
Payout Ratio24.23%37.38%50.54%63.69%76.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)164.35270.07388.84521.90670.63836.48885.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)245.33247.66249.98
Year 2 PV (M)320.87326.98333.15
Year 3 PV (M)391.23402.46413.90
Year 4 PV (M)456.66474.23492.29
Year 5 PV (M)517.43542.42568.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,054.489,491.829,945.89
Equity Value (M)10,986.0011,485.5512,003.58
Shares Outstanding (M)338.79338.79338.79
Fair Value$32.43$33.90$35.43
Upside / Downside12.83%17.96%23.28%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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