Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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MetroCity Bankshares, Inc. (MCBS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.34 - $198.63$105.13
Multi-Stage$44.56 - $48.67$46.58
Blended Fair Value$75.85
Current Price$27.69
Upside173.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.22%26.77%0.820.710.590.460.400.400.360.210.150.10
YoY Growth--15.66%19.03%29.66%14.65%-0.79%11.58%72.02%43.29%41.46%35.73%
Dividend Yield--2.97%2.96%3.48%1.95%2.60%3.44%2.63%1.87%1.89%1.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.338.335.00
Cash Retained (M)42.2442.2442.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.33-8.33-5.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.9233.9137.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.7025.7025.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.131.321.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.950.950.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.131.321.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.072.272.40
WACC / Discount Rate8.80%8.80%8.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$66.34$105.13$198.63
Upside / Downside139.59%279.67%617.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.6370.9675.5780.4885.7191.2994.02
Payout Ratio36.60%47.28%57.96%68.64%79.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.3933.5543.8055.2467.9982.1686.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.80%8.80%8.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)30.5530.8431.13
Year 2 PV (M)36.3137.0037.70
Year 3 PV (M)41.7042.9044.12
Year 4 PV (M)46.7348.5250.37
Year 5 PV (M)51.4153.9056.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)938.74984.091,031.16
Equity Value (M)1,145.441,197.241,250.95
Shares Outstanding (M)25.7025.7025.70
Fair Value$44.56$46.58$48.67
Upside / Downside60.93%68.21%75.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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