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Definitive Analysis

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PT Mark Dynamics Indonesia Tbk (MARK.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,717.23 - $14,105.68$10,828.04
Multi-Stage$1,841.12 - $2,009.23$1,923.66
Blended Fair Value$6,375.85
Current Price$635.00
Upside904.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS58.49%0.00%70.0040.0050.0015.007.007.003.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--75.00%-20.00%233.33%114.29%0.00%133.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.78%4.82%7.94%1.20%0.69%2.00%0.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)269,523.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)266,000.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,523.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53,904.7833,690.4920,214.29
Cash Retained (M)3,523.903,523.903,523.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-53,904.78-33,690.49-20,214.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)-50,380.88-30,166.59-16,690.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,800.003,800.003,800.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-13.26-7.94-4.39
LTM Dividend per Share70.0070.0070.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-13.26-7.94-4.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend56.7462.0665.61
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,717.23$10,828.04$14,105.68
Upside / Downside485.39%1,605.20%2,121.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)269,523.92287,042.98305,700.77325,571.32346,733.46369,271.13380,349.26
Payout Ratio98.69%96.95%95.22%93.48%91.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)266,000.02278,299.75291,074.60304,334.36318,088.10332,344.02351,823.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)257,385.45259,825.12262,264.80
Year 2 PV (M)248,969.79253,711.97258,498.88
Year 3 PV (M)240,749.01247,660.05254,702.10
Year 4 PV (M)232,719.15241,668.87250,874.28
Year 5 PV (M)224,876.32235,737.93247,015.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,791,553.486,071,287.686,361,727.96
Equity Value (M)6,996,253.197,309,891.617,635,083.25
Shares Outstanding (M)3,800.003,800.003,800.00
Fair Value$1,841.12$1,923.66$2,009.23
Upside / Downside189.94%202.94%216.41%

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