Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.19 - $6.19$5.15
Multi-Stage$7.11 - $7.77$7.43
Blended Fair Value$6.29
Current Price$13.96
Upside-54.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.58%2.63%0.520.520.520.500.500.500.490.490.490.40
YoY Growth--0.00%-1.41%4.41%0.00%0.00%1.49%0.75%0.00%23.15%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.36%4.97%3.18%2.91%2.48%3.66%1.94%3.84%4.04%3.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.861.791.07
Cash Retained (M)0.230.230.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.86-1.79-1.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.63-1.56-0.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.0827.0827.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.06-0.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.06-0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.420.460.49
WACC / Discount Rate8.94%8.94%8.94%
Growth Rate-1.03%-0.03%0.97%
Fair Value$4.19$5.15$6.19
Upside / Downside-69.97%-63.12%-55.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14.3014.3014.2914.2914.2814.2814.71
Payout Ratio98.38%96.70%95.03%93.35%91.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.0713.8213.5813.3413.0912.8513.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.94%8.94%8.94%
Growth Rate-1.03%-0.03%0.97%
Year 1 PV (M)12.5612.6912.82
Year 2 PV (M)11.2111.4411.67
Year 3 PV (M)10.0110.3210.63
Year 4 PV (M)8.939.309.67
Year 5 PV (M)7.968.378.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)141.82149.13156.74
Equity Value (M)192.50201.24210.33
Shares Outstanding (M)27.0827.0827.08
Fair Value$7.11$7.43$7.77
Upside / Downside-49.08%-46.77%-44.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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