Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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PT Multi Prima Sejahtera Tbk (LPIN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,839.01 - $14,276.12$13,378.82
Multi-Stage$2,164.34 - $2,364.13$2,262.42
Blended Fair Value$7,820.62
Current Price$484.00
Upside1,515.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%24.8314.9214.92117.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--66.47%0.00%-87.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.37%4.55%3.95%26.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30,508.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29,550.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)957.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,101.673,813.552,288.13
Cash Retained (M)957.76957.76957.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,101.67-3,813.55-2,288.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)-5,143.91-2,855.78-1,330.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)425.00425.00425.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-12.10-6.72-3.13
LTM Dividend per Share69.5369.5369.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share-12.10-6.72-3.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend57.4362.8166.40
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,839.01$13,378.82$14,276.12
Upside / Downside1,106.41%2,664.22%2,849.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30,508.3732,491.4234,603.3636,852.5839,248.0041,799.1243,053.09
Payout Ratio96.86%95.49%94.12%92.74%91.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29,550.6131,025.5832,567.4434,178.6535,861.7337,619.2139,824.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28,848.2729,121.7129,395.16
Year 2 PV (M)28,156.8128,693.1129,234.48
Year 3 PV (M)27,476.0728,264.8129,068.50
Year 4 PV (M)26,805.9327,836.8128,897.14
Year 5 PV (M)26,146.2427,409.1128,720.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)782,412.71820,203.54859,440.71
Equity Value (M)919,846.03961,529.101,004,756.31
Shares Outstanding (M)425.00425.00425.00
Fair Value$2,164.34$2,262.42$2,364.13
Upside / Downside347.18%367.44%388.46%

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