Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$688.08 - $3,572.93$1,390.90
Multi-Stage$376.97 - $412.62$394.47
Blended Fair Value$892.68
Current Price$234.98
Upside279.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.851.761.570.380.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--4.83%12.61%310.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.80%1.11%0.99%0.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,005.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)444.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,561.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)801.00500.63300.38
Cash Retained (M)3,561.003,561.003,561.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-801.00-500.63-300.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,760.003,060.383,260.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)222.93222.93222.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.3813.7314.63
LTM Dividend per Share1.991.991.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.3813.7314.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.3715.7216.62
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$688.08$1,390.90$3,572.93
Upside / Downside192.83%491.92%1,420.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,005.004,265.334,542.574,837.845,152.305,487.205,651.81
Payout Ratio11.09%26.87%42.65%58.43%74.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)444.001,146.051,937.482,826.963,823.894,938.485,227.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,054.081,064.071,074.07
Year 2 PV (M)1,639.011,670.231,701.75
Year 3 PV (M)2,199.572,262.712,327.05
Year 4 PV (M)2,736.502,841.742,949.98
Year 5 PV (M)3,250.543,407.543,570.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)73,156.8676,690.3680,359.10
Equity Value (M)84,036.5687,936.6691,982.49
Shares Outstanding (M)222.93222.93222.93
Fair Value$376.97$394.47$412.62
Upside / Downside60.43%67.87%75.60%

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