Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Nuveen Mortgage and Income Fund (JLS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.99 - $41.83$35.25
Multi-Stage$82.82 - $91.23$86.94
Blended Fair Value$61.09
Current Price$18.74
Upside226.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-11.58%0.00%1.781.571.060.970.983.306.039.630.000.00
YoY Growth--13.76%47.49%9.88%-1.02%-70.39%-45.25%-37.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.91%9.29%6.57%4.62%4.95%15.04%26.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.582.861.72
Cash Retained (M)3.603.603.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.58-2.86-1.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.990.731.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.485.485.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.180.130.34
LTM Dividend per Share3.533.533.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.180.130.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.353.663.87
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-4.68%-3.68%-2.68%
Fair Value$28.99$35.25$41.83
Upside / Downside54.72%88.09%123.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.9222.0721.2620.4819.7219.0019.57
Payout Ratio84.31%85.45%86.59%87.72%88.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.3218.8618.4117.9617.5317.1018.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-4.68%-3.68%-2.68%
Year 1 PV (M)17.5517.7417.92
Year 2 PV (M)15.9516.2816.62
Year 3 PV (M)14.4814.9415.42
Year 4 PV (M)13.1513.7114.29
Year 5 PV (M)11.9412.5813.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)380.48400.86422.11
Equity Value (M)453.56476.13499.61
Shares Outstanding (M)5.485.485.48
Fair Value$82.82$86.94$91.23
Upside / Downside341.93%363.92%386.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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