Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Jack Chia Industries (Thailand) Public Company Limited (JCT.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.25 - $79.84$67.21
Multi-Stage$99.01 - $108.38$103.61
Blended Fair Value$85.41
Current Price$80.00
Upside6.76%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.23%0.07%4.123.893.413.434.094.073.993.893.904.87
YoY Growth--5.74%14.24%-0.51%-16.19%0.43%1.99%2.50%-0.04%-19.99%19.03%
Dividend Yield--5.26%4.94%4.29%4.28%4.90%5.61%4.79%4.31%4.71%5.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)103.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)86.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.7512.977.78
Cash Retained (M)16.7516.7516.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.75-12.97-7.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4.003.788.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.5013.5013.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.300.280.66
LTM Dividend per Share6.446.446.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.300.280.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.156.727.11
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate-2.08%-1.08%-0.08%
Fair Value$55.25$67.21$79.84
Upside / Downside-30.94%-15.99%-0.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)103.73102.61101.50100.4099.3298.24101.19
Payout Ratio83.85%85.08%86.31%87.54%88.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)86.9887.3087.6187.8988.1688.4293.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate-2.08%-1.08%-0.08%
Year 1 PV (M)79.4280.2381.04
Year 2 PV (M)72.5073.9975.49
Year 3 PV (M)66.1768.2270.31
Year 4 PV (M)60.3862.8965.47
Year 5 PV (M)55.0957.9660.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,003.131,055.411,109.85
Equity Value (M)1,336.701,398.701,463.11
Shares Outstanding (M)13.5013.5013.50
Fair Value$99.01$103.61$108.38
Upside / Downside23.77%29.51%35.47%

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