Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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PT Indonesia Fibreboard Industry Tbk (IFII.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Paper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$214.62 - $333.33$269.52
Multi-Stage$507.87 - $558.58$532.73
Blended Fair Value$401.13
Current Price$230.00
Upside74.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%10.002.004.000.005.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--400.00%-50.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.55%1.32%2.09%0.00%3.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)214,406.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)150,592.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)63,814.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42,881.2226,800.7616,080.46
Cash Retained (M)63,814.0963,814.0963,814.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-42,881.22-26,800.76-16,080.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)20,932.8737,013.3347,733.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9,412.009,412.009,412.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.223.935.07
LTM Dividend per Share16.0016.0016.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.223.935.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.2219.9321.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$214.62$269.52$333.33
Upside / Downside-6.69%17.18%44.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)214,406.09212,262.03210,139.41208,038.02205,957.64203,898.06210,015.00
Payout Ratio70.24%74.19%78.14%82.09%86.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)150,592.00157,476.03164,207.32170,788.24177,221.11183,508.25194,263.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)146,616.98148,113.07149,609.16
Year 2 PV (M)142,341.69145,261.44148,210.84
Year 3 PV (M)137,837.49142,100.21146,449.92
Year 4 PV (M)133,166.40138,685.53144,374.46
Year 5 PV (M)128,382.14135,067.30142,028.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,091,733.114,304,799.144,526,650.04
Equity Value (M)4,780,077.805,014,026.685,257,322.49
Shares Outstanding (M)9,412.009,412.009,412.00
Fair Value$507.87$532.73$558.58
Upside / Downside120.81%131.62%142.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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