Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

HP Inc. (HPQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.05 - $24.10$20.54
Multi-Stage$27.66 - $30.34$28.97
Blended Fair Value$24.76
Current Price$27.67
Upside-10.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.76%-1.38%1.141.131.091.090.981.051.020.940.940.90
YoY Growth--1.21%3.66%0.00%10.55%-5.92%2.78%7.90%0.56%4.20%-31.36%
Dividend Yield--4.12%3.47%3.79%3.73%2.68%4.27%4.77%4.28%4.02%5.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,529.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,088.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,441.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)505.80316.13189.68
Cash Retained (M)1,441.001,441.001,441.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-505.80-316.13-189.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)935.201,124.881,251.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)953.75953.75953.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.181.31
LTM Dividend per Share1.141.141.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.181.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.122.322.45
WACC / Discount Rate9.65%9.65%9.65%
Growth Rate-2.48%-1.48%-0.48%
Fair Value$17.05$20.54$24.10
Upside / Downside-38.37%-25.78%-12.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,529.002,491.602,454.762,418.452,382.692,347.452,417.88
Payout Ratio43.02%52.42%61.81%71.21%80.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,088.001,306.021,517.351,722.141,920.552,112.712,236.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.65%9.65%9.65%
Growth Rate-2.48%-1.48%-0.48%
Year 1 PV (M)1,178.971,191.061,203.15
Year 2 PV (M)1,236.501,261.991,287.74
Year 3 PV (M)1,266.881,306.251,346.43
Year 4 PV (M)1,275.401,328.521,383.29
Year 5 PV (M)1,266.531,332.811,401.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,157.6421,212.5522,311.18
Equity Value (M)26,381.9227,633.1928,933.63
Shares Outstanding (M)953.75953.75953.75
Fair Value$27.66$28.97$30.34
Upside / Downside-0.03%4.71%9.64%

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