Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Holland Colours N.V. (HOLCO.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$157.71 - $269.73$206.23
Multi-Stage$298.77 - $327.89$313.05
Blended Fair Value$259.64
Current Price$104.00
Upside149.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.12%3.56%3.013.415.965.504.553.533.393.012.152.00
YoY Growth---11.79%-42.78%8.37%20.87%29.08%4.01%12.59%40.00%7.50%-5.65%
Dividend Yield--3.44%3.59%5.05%3.51%3.67%4.41%4.35%3.38%3.11%4.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.181.370.82
Cash Retained (M)2.422.422.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.18-1.37-0.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.241.061.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.860.860.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.281.231.86
LTM Dividend per Share9.889.889.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.281.231.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.1611.1111.74
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate0.04%1.04%2.04%
Fair Value$157.71$206.23$269.73
Upside / Downside51.64%98.29%159.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10.9211.0411.1511.2711.3911.5011.85
Payout Ratio77.82%80.25%82.69%85.13%87.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.508.869.229.599.9710.3510.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate0.04%1.04%2.04%
Year 1 PV (M)8.238.328.40
Year 2 PV (M)7.978.138.29
Year 3 PV (M)7.717.948.18
Year 4 PV (M)7.457.758.06
Year 5 PV (M)7.197.567.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)218.49229.63241.22
Equity Value (M)257.05269.33282.10
Shares Outstanding (M)0.860.860.86
Fair Value$298.77$313.05$327.89
Upside / Downside187.28%201.01%215.28%

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