Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hearts and Minds Investments Limited (HM1.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.10 - $7.71$6.33
Multi-Stage$10.38 - $11.41$10.89
Blended Fair Value$8.61
Current Price$3.04
Upside183.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.160.140.120.110.100.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.42%10.54%12.98%12.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.10%5.32%5.52%5.47%2.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)135.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)59.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)76.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.1816.9910.19
Cash Retained (M)76.8676.8676.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.18-16.99-10.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)49.6859.8766.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)228.91228.91228.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.260.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.260.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.520.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.10$6.33$7.71
Upside / Downside67.76%108.17%153.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)135.91134.55133.21131.88130.56129.25133.13
Payout Ratio43.45%52.76%62.07%71.38%80.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)59.0570.9982.6894.13105.35116.33123.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)65.6066.2766.94
Year 2 PV (M)70.6072.0573.51
Year 3 PV (M)74.2776.5778.91
Year 4 PV (M)76.8079.9983.27
Year 5 PV (M)78.3782.4586.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,010.012,114.682,223.66
Equity Value (M)2,375.652,491.992,612.98
Shares Outstanding (M)228.91228.91228.91
Fair Value$10.38$10.89$11.41
Upside / Downside241.38%258.10%275.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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