Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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High Co. S.A. (HCO.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.43 - $13.30$10.66
Multi-Stage$17.31 - $19.02$18.15
Blended Fair Value$14.41
Current Price$3.83
Upside276.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.80%13.46%0.280.410.430.430.000.270.220.200.100.08
YoY Growth---30.60%-5.93%-0.50%170,700.00%-99.91%21.85%13.40%96.54%25.83%-0.57%
Dividend Yield--11.21%10.82%9.08%8.67%0.01%4.45%5.02%3.93%1.55%1.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.342.091.25
Cash Retained (M)6.296.296.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.34-2.09-1.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.954.205.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.7119.7119.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.210.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.210.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Fair Value$8.43$10.66$13.30
Upside / Downside120.23%178.37%247.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.7016.6616.6316.6016.5616.5317.03
Payout Ratio62.33%67.86%73.40%78.93%84.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.4111.3112.2113.1013.9914.8815.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Year 1 PV (M)10.4910.6010.70
Year 2 PV (M)10.5010.7110.93
Year 3 PV (M)10.4510.7711.10
Year 4 PV (M)10.3510.7811.22
Year 5 PV (M)10.2110.7411.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)289.17304.10319.65
Equity Value (M)341.18357.70374.88
Shares Outstanding (M)19.7119.7119.71
Fair Value$17.31$18.15$19.02
Upside / Downside352.05%373.95%396.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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