Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Goodyear (Thailand) Public Company Limited (GYT.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,419.41 - $6,385.60$5,983.96
Multi-Stage$4,097.40 - $4,499.28$4,294.57
Blended Fair Value$5,139.26
Current Price$195.00
Upside2,535.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.96%-9.97%7.000.000.000.000.005.0020.0020.0020.0020.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-75.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.53%5.56%4.93%4.20%4.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)238.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)184.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.7629.8517.91
Cash Retained (M)184.06184.06184.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.76-29.85-17.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)136.29154.20166.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.407.407.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.4220.8422.45
LTM Dividend per Share7.407.407.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.4220.8422.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend25.8228.2429.85
WACC / Discount Rate-0.30%-0.30%-0.30%
Growth Rate4.96%5.96%6.96%
Fair Value$5,419.41$5,983.96$6,385.60
Upside / Downside2,679.19%2,968.70%3,174.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)238.82253.05268.14284.12301.06319.00328.57
Payout Ratio22.93%36.34%49.76%63.17%76.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.7691.97133.42179.48230.57287.10303.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.30%-0.30%-0.30%
Growth Rate4.96%5.96%6.96%
Year 1 PV (M)91.3792.2493.11
Year 2 PV (M)131.70134.22136.76
Year 3 PV (M)176.02181.10186.27
Year 4 PV (M)224.65233.33242.27
Year 5 PV (M)277.92291.41305.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,420.8830,849.3632,332.79
Equity Value (M)30,322.5431,781.6633,296.63
Shares Outstanding (M)7.407.407.40
Fair Value$4,097.40$4,294.57$4,499.28
Upside / Downside2,001.23%2,102.34%2,207.32%

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