Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$192.28 - $411.59$273.87
Multi-Stage$138.08 - $150.92$144.39
Blended Fair Value$209.13
Current Price$243.10
Upside-13.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.600.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)124,251.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,956.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)114,295.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24,850.2015,531.389,318.83
Cash Retained (M)114,295.00114,295.00114,295.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-24,850.20-15,531.38-9,318.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)89,444.8098,763.63104,976.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12,260.0012,260.0012,260.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.308.068.56
LTM Dividend per Share0.810.810.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.308.068.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.118.879.37
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$192.28$273.87$411.59
Upside / Downside-20.90%12.66%69.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)124,251.00132,327.32140,928.59150,088.95159,844.73170,234.64175,341.68
Payout Ratio8.01%24.41%40.81%57.21%73.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,956.0032,301.4357,509.7085,858.57117,649.82153,211.17162,191.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29,102.8529,378.7029,654.56
Year 2 PV (M)46,684.0647,573.2648,470.85
Year 3 PV (M)62,794.9864,597.6066,434.39
Year 4 PV (M)77,525.8180,507.2383,573.83
Year 5 PV (M)90,961.8495,355.3399,916.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,385,824.061,452,759.881,522,257.49
Equity Value (M)1,692,893.601,770,172.011,850,308.10
Shares Outstanding (M)12,260.0012,260.0012,260.00
Fair Value$138.08$144.39$150.92
Upside / Downside-43.20%-40.61%-37.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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