Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT. Gajah Tunggal Tbk (GJTL.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49,304.10 - $58,133.74$54,458.86
Multi-Stage$35,141.49 - $38,719.80$36,895.84
Blended Fair Value$45,677.35
Current Price$1,115.00
Upside3,996.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%17.43%49.810.000.009.960.000.000.004.980.009.96
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-0.22%
Dividend Yield--4.72%0.00%0.00%1.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.61%0.00%1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,060,274.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)173,577.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)886,697.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)212,054.80132,534.2579,520.55
Cash Retained (M)886,697.00886,697.00886,697.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-212,054.80-132,534.25-79,520.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)674,642.20754,162.75807,176.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,484.413,484.413,484.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share193.62216.44231.65
LTM Dividend per Share49.8249.8249.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share193.62216.44231.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend243.43266.25281.47
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate1.27%2.27%3.27%
Fair Value$49,304.10$54,458.86$58,133.74
Upside / Downside4,321.89%4,784.20%5,113.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,060,274.001,084,325.461,108,922.501,134,077.511,159,803.131,186,112.331,221,695.70
Payout Ratio16.37%31.10%45.82%60.55%75.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)173,577.00337,190.14508,136.83686,665.59873,032.431,067,501.091,130,068.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate1.27%2.27%3.27%
Year 1 PV (M)340,606.49343,969.89347,333.29
Year 2 PV (M)518,485.67528,776.06539,167.56
Year 3 PV (M)707,749.24728,923.49750,515.91
Year 4 PV (M)908,955.34945,393.46982,916.30
Year 5 PV (M)1,122,686.601,179,223.431,238,015.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)118,848,850.65124,833,902.52131,057,680.67
Equity Value (M)122,447,333.98128,560,188.85134,915,629.09
Shares Outstanding (M)3,484.413,484.413,484.41
Fair Value$35,141.49$36,895.84$38,719.80
Upside / Downside3,051.70%3,209.04%3,372.63%

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