Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,050.80 - $5,132.45$2,241.65
Multi-Stage$561.44 - $614.40$587.44
Blended Fair Value$1,414.54
Current Price$139.80
Upside911.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS622.00%41.14%3.182.090.310.150.000.000.460.300.140.14
YoY Growth--52.01%571.32%109.58%0.00%-100.00%-99.96%54.34%120.25%-0.03%33.67%
Dividend Yield--2.71%2.99%1.12%1.22%0.00%0.00%5.65%2.72%1.53%1.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)108,389.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,963.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)89,426.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21,677.9413,548.718,129.23
Cash Retained (M)89,426.6789,426.6789,426.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-21,677.94-13,548.71-8,129.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)67,748.7375,877.9681,297.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,199.954,199.954,199.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.1318.0719.36
LTM Dividend per Share4.524.524.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.1318.0719.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.6522.5823.87
WACC / Discount Rate7.57%7.57%7.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,050.80$2,241.65$5,132.45
Upside / Downside651.65%1,503.47%3,571.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)108,389.71115,435.04122,938.32130,929.31139,439.71148,503.29152,958.39
Payout Ratio17.50%32.00%46.50%61.00%75.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,963.0336,934.8157,162.8079,864.38105,275.65133,652.96141,486.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.57%7.57%7.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34,012.3134,334.7034,657.09
Year 2 PV (M)48,474.5749,397.8750,329.89
Year 3 PV (M)62,366.8564,157.1865,981.44
Year 4 PV (M)75,705.7578,617.1881,611.78
Year 5 PV (M)88,507.4392,782.3797,220.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,048,945.272,147,910.092,250,662.53
Equity Value (M)2,358,012.172,467,199.392,580,463.66
Shares Outstanding (M)4,199.954,199.954,199.95
Fair Value$561.44$587.44$614.40
Upside / Downside301.60%320.20%339.49%

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