Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. (GALP.LS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas IntegratedSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.05 - $51.48$34.26
Multi-Stage$31.01 - $34.00$32.48
Blended Fair Value$33.37
Current Price$16.10
Upside107.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.57%4.31%0.560.570.560.670.530.750.690.660.520.43
YoY Growth---0.71%0.48%-15.66%25.13%-28.67%8.98%4.28%26.87%21.62%15.77%
Dividend Yield--3.47%3.60%5.39%5.80%5.39%7.20%4.75%4.30%3.65%3.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)975.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)480.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)495.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)195.00121.8873.13
Cash Retained (M)495.00495.00495.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-195.00-121.88-73.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)300.00373.13421.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)745.02745.02745.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.500.57
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.500.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.051.151.21
WACC / Discount Rate6.76%6.76%6.76%
Growth Rate2.31%3.31%4.31%
Fair Value$24.05$34.26$51.48
Upside / Downside49.40%112.79%219.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)975.001,007.241,040.541,074.941,110.481,147.201,181.62
Payout Ratio49.23%57.38%65.54%73.69%81.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)480.00578.00681.95792.15908.891,032.481,093.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.76%6.76%6.76%
Growth Rate2.31%3.31%4.31%
Year 1 PV (M)536.16541.40546.64
Year 2 PV (M)586.81598.33609.97
Year 3 PV (M)632.29651.01670.10
Year 4 PV (M)672.96699.66727.15
Year 5 PV (M)709.14744.48781.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,969.3220,964.5421,999.05
Equity Value (M)23,106.6824,199.4425,334.14
Shares Outstanding (M)745.02745.02745.02
Fair Value$31.01$32.48$34.00
Upside / Downside92.64%101.75%111.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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